The NBA game between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets will be on Sunday (15/12/2019) at 1:10PM AEDT and we take a look at the odds for both teams. The Nuggets go into the game as favourites.
When: Sunday, December 15th at 1:10PM AEDT
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Preview:
The 15-8 Nuggets are laying 7 at home to the 11-13 Thunder here and I like the matchup for the home side. They’ve faded a little bit of late, but I think Denver is a bit of a sleeping giant out West.
First and foremost, they’ve got an outstanding homecourt advantage. They’re 9-3 at home this season, compared to a pedestrian 4-8 record for OKC. They’re also essentially fully healthy here, with Paul Millsap looking likely to play.
Secondly, I have to think OKC are starting to become overvalued in this betting market. They’re 16-8 ATS, compared to just 10-11 for their opponents this season. Punters have been cashing tickets with OKC all year, but now looks like the right time to fade them.
I like the matchups for Denver in this one, particularly in the frontcourt. The trio of Jokic, Millsap, and Grant are as solid as you’ll find and I expect them to have their way with Gallinari and Adams.
The backcourt of Murray and Harris has also looked very promising and I give them a strong edge over CP3 and SGA. Denver is also the much deeper of these two sides, which becomes increasingly noticeable at high altitude.
7 points is a healthy spread here, but we’re quite devoid of options today. I’d expect a Denver win in this one, meaning them covering -7 is definitely +EV.
Odds:
Tip: Denver Nuggets at $1.33
*Odds correct at time of posting. Subject to change
