Warwick Stakes 2014 day Tips – Randwick racecourse

The temptation of Spring is in the air and that will intensify this Saturday at Randwick with an outstanding program of quality racing, headed up by the $175,000 Group ll Warwick Stakes (1400m), where we will see the likes of Boban, Messene and Weary face each other again, while the likes of Criterion and Dissident will be kicking off their Spring campaign.

The action doesn’t stop there. Top class filly Earthquake makes her long awaited return to the track when she takes her place in the $175,000 Group ll Silver Shadow Stakes (1200m). No doubt she’ll start prohibitive odds, but given her freakish talent and form, she should be winning the first leg of the princess series. And with three other Group races on the card…yeah baby, top class racing is back!

 

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Race One (12:40pm) : TAB Early Quaddie Handicap (85) 1400m

Back Me: Rock Sturdy defied an alarming late betting drift to get the job done at Rosehill three weeks back, aided by an absolute peach steer from Hugh Bowman, who tracked the well backed Lorna May everywhere in the run, peeled off her back at the right time and wore her down late. Those two meet again here, and I feel he has got her measure here again. Just not sure he can beat the top tip.
Big Danger: Keen to see how Any Day Will Do resumes here. Formerly with the late Guy Walter and now with David Vandyke. During the Autumn, she competed at blacktype level and didn’t disgrace herself at all, placing in the Triscay and Epona. 1400m is short of her best, but she couldn’t have gone any better in her recent barrier trial win, beating home top class horses whilst under a hold from Shinn. He has been very bullish about her chances during the week, so I’m keen to see her return.
Roughie: You’ll Never really savaged the line late when third to As Needed here a fortnight ago, coming from a long way back in a race dominated by those near the speed. He has been up for a while, but is racing as well as ever, drawn a good gate and a senior rider gets back on board, and the last time that happened, he won.

 

Race Two (1:15pm) : Randwick City Mayor’s Cup (85) 2000m

Back Me: There was nothing wrong with the win of Mr Scary over this track/distance last time out, beating home a handy field without getting too carried away, aided by a gun Tim Clark ride, who sticks with the horse. He showed a win wasn’t far away the start prior at Newcastle when making up a stack of ground on a bottomless surface near the fence. He loves the mud, down on the minimum and loves racing at Randwick.
Big Danger: Laidback Larry is a hit and miss horse and is very hard to follow. He likes to dominate from the front and run at his own tempo, so you’ll know if you’re a winning chance with him after 200m. But if he does jump well and lead, he will take a stack of beating against this bunch given he has been competing in tougher company than this and has been more than satisfactory.
Roughie: Self Sense takes on the older horses for the first time as a four year old after stringing together three impressive wins, the first of which came against the older horses on a bottomless Traralgon surface before winning back to back at Caulfield. He will handle the 2000m with no issues and draws to get a soft run on the fence, probably three pairs back. The key also is the big weight drop, coming down to 57kg from 60kg. Big threat.

Best Bet at Randwick is Terravista
Best Bet at Randwick is Terravista

 

Race Three (1:50pm) : Synergy FX Up And Coming Stakes 1300m

Back Me: Really good edition of this race. I think Meursault is a star, and after his stunning debut win on the Hawkesbury stand alone meeting, he was immediately tipped out and set for the Spring. He could have easily gone north and won the J J Atkins, but Godolphin have their eyes on bigger and more juicy fish. He hasn’t trialled publicly for his return to racing, but he is well above average, trialled super on wet ground in the past and simply looks a Group l horse. Clear horse to beat for mine.
Big Danger: Better Land I feel has the most upside from the horses that ran in the Rosebud a fortnight back given he covered a stack of ground in the run and looked a beaten horse on the turn, but picked up late and surged to only go down narrowly. He appears to have a stack of upside and we know is bred to be a superstar. He’ll take some beating.
Roughie: Interested to see how Shooting To Win returns for Team Snowden. He created a big impression after his stunning debut win at Kembla before getting the job done narrowly at Canterbury on a shifty track, similar to what he’ll face here. Trialled last week at Hawkesbury and looked relatively forward there, but will improve off it no doubt. Talent is certainly there, all he needs is luck from the draw to be right in the mix.

 

Race Four (2:25pm) : Coolmore Silver Shadow Stakes 1200m

Back Me: I’m very interested in how Memorial returns here. She’ll always be number two to Earthquake as the best Godolphin filly, but from all reports she has come back much bigger and stronger, and that was evident in her barrier trial at the start of the month behind Valentia. Two fresh runs have been quality and is bred to swim.
Big Danger: Bring Me The Maid resumes here for the Moody yard after a very good Autumn, where she ended up with a slashing third in the Slipper to Mossfun and Earthquake. Handles wet ground and her two trials have been very encouraging, with the winner of the first trial going on to win in town, and the winner of the second trial, Nostradamus, couldn’t have been more impressive in winning the San Domenico, so she ticks plenty of boxes here.
Roughie: Press Report might have been a touch lucky to win the race last start at Rosehill when winning on protest, but she has come back in ripping order. Trial win was fabulous and her two runs back have been full of merit. Go back to the Autumn and her two wet track runs resulted in a second to Mossfun and a game 3.5L seventh to Bring Me The Maid. Tie in the fact she is the fitter horse out of these three, I think she is a knockout hope.

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Race Five (3:05pm) : Show County Quality 1200m

Back Me: Terravista took some giant leaps in the Summer/Autumn, starting off as a benchmark galloper, but he steadily went through his grades, won a Group lll and earned himself a crack at Group l company in the George Ryder where he failed, but he had enough by then and he is not a WFA horse. Trials have been encouraging, unbeaten fresh and the breeding does suggest he’ll get through the going without too many hassles.
Big Danger: I can’t believe there is $17 on offer for Our Voodoo Prince. Yes, he is being aimed towards the Caulfield Cup and will take enormous benefit from the run here, but his two trials have been very good and he did win first up last time in his first start for Chris Waller. $17 is a silly price and is a must each way.
Roughie: Oakfield Commands is a little beauty who doesn’t know how to run a bad race. He was given a peach ride by Lester Grace to lead all the way at Rosehill last time out and the form has been franked, with the third horse running well again and the fourth horse winning. He has to go up a couple of notches in class here, but he is rock hard fit and grows a leg at Randwick.

 

Race Six (3:45pm) : Pro-Ride Warwick Stakes 1400m

Back Me: Tiger Tees gets his chance to win against some of the best Sydney has to offer here I feel. His trials were so so at best, but his class on raceday rose to the occasion when he resumed with a tough win down the Flemington straight in the Aurie’s Star, carrying 59.5kg. His best form is early on in a campaign, Group l placed at this track/distance, loves the wet, maps well, hard to beat for mine.
Big Danger: Weary got a definite pass mark for mine in the Missile, finishing a 1.5L fifth to Sweet Idea after getting back in the run and not being entirely suited by the moderate tempo. He is a winner second up, up to 1400m is a tick as is the heavy ground. That last factor brings him right into contention.
Roughie: I’m very, very scared about Royal Descent. She had a fantastic Autumn campaign without winning, but Chris Waller certainly had one eye on the Spring, and it looks as if it’ll pay dividends given how well she looks and how well she has trialled. Normally Waller is reserved when talking up his horses chances, but he has been quite bullish about this horse this week. This could be her Spring, so big watch on her here.

 

Race Seven (4:25pm) : Toy Show Quality 1300m

Back Me: Putting Bennetta on top, but with slight reservation. She was outstanding in two runs during the Brisbane Winter Carnival, running third to Sacred Star in the QTC Cup before running fourth to Big Money in the Healy. She then came back to Sydney and ran second to Generalife in the Civic, and the form from that race has held up. She has been freshened up and went to the trials at the start of the month and went like a bomb, running a close second to Valentia. She couldn’t have trialled any better for mine, so tie that in with residual fitness, she looks the one to beat. Only query is the wet ground. I think she can handle it, but she is much more effective on top of the ground.
Big Danger: Diamond Drille probably didn’t surprise when she won the Group lll Aspiration…but no doubt she surprised all of us with her unbelievable win in the Group l Queen Of The Turf two starts later, beating home some of the best mares Australia has to offer, including Red Tracer and Catkins. Trials have been excellent and does run well fresh.
Roughie: Gypsy Diamond took her class to the required level towards the end of the carnival with a dominant Carbine Club win before running a game second to Diamond Drille in the Queen Of The Turf. She’s had a couple of quiet trials to prepare for her return to the races, so I’m thinking she is a betting proposition for later on, but look for her to steam home late.

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Race Eight (5:05pm) : Ranvet Handicap (80) 1000m

Bacl Me: A wet track could be the final key to seeing Mount Nebo breakthrough for a win this time in. He has been very consistent and continually getting prizemoney for connections, but he can’t quite crack it for a win, but his wet track record (6:2-3-1) reads very well and he should get every chance from the gate and with the claim for Taylor Marshall.
Big Danger: A fast run 1000m might just bring out another win in consistent Newcastle galloper Wouldn’t It Be Nice, who worked home strongly last week behind Territory over 1400m, but I will say he looked to peak on his run the last 50m hence why I think coming back to 1000m and a hot tempo may suit him, as will some give in the ground.
Roughie: Keep an eye on this Victorian galloper, Mio Dio, for Wez Hunter. His form does read quite well, and I loved the way he attacked the line to win last time out at Warrnambool on a very heavy track, so the conditions here won’t be an issue for him, drops in weight, very open and even race…$26 looks a touch of overs for mine.

 

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Best Bet: Race Five Number 4 Terravista

Next Best: Race Three Number 5 Meursault

Best Roughie: Race Seven Number 6 Bennetta

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 4, 6, 7

Leg Two: 2, 4, 5, 8, 9, 11

Leg Three: 1, 4, 6, 8, 13

Leg Four: 1, 3, 8, 11, 15

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