English import who won his first four starts in Australia for Gai Waterhouse, including the Newcastle Cup in September and The Metropolitan easily in October. That was amazing in itself, given he only just fell in to beat Brian’s Honour – a restricted galloper – at Canterbury in August. Gai said after that win that he’d win the Caulfield Cup, and most in the racing media scoffed. Yet, on the basis of his Metrop win, he started favourite in the Caulfield Cup. Although he did have to work hard to get across, there was nothing left at the finish and he crossed the line in 15th. He’ll be up on the pace here, especially from the nice gate, and I’m sure Tommy Berry will try to get them running along.

But I just don’t know if he has it in him to run out a strong 3200m. He deserves to be forgiven for one poor run, but he’ll need everything to go right for him to be in the finish. I don’t know if he’ll be able to hold them off late. That said, I wish Tommy Berry the best – he’s a great young jockey and I’m sure he’ll have many more rides in the Melbourne Cup in the future. Damien Oliver fell from Salisopra at his first Melbourne Cup in 1989, so I’m sure Berry will be happy to do better than that. I don’t think Glencadam Gold will give him a fairytale Melbourne Cup success, sadly. No.

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Breeding: Refuse to Bend x Sandrella
Bred in: Ireland
Nationality: Australia
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Weight: 53.5kg
Career Stats: 13:6-2-1
Last 5 Starts: 11110
Biggest Win: Group 1 The Metropolitan (2400m), Royal Randwick, 6/10/2012
Age: 5
Sportsbet Fixed Odds (as at 7pm, Sunday November 4): $35