An excellent card of racing has been assembled for Rosehill on Saturday, headed up by the $175,000 Group 2 NSW Thoroughbred Breeders Classic (1200m), featuring top class mare Streama and the unbeaten up and comer in White Sage. The weather is fine, the track is good and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.

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Race One (12:50) : Australian Turf Club Handicap (74) 1500m Form Guide

Back Me: I think the race is between the Chris Waller pair of All Cerise and Define. Leaning towards All Cerise (Best Odds: $3.00), simply because she is on an upward spiral distance wise, and was so dominant over 1400m here at the last meeting.
Big Danger: Chris Waller described Define (Best Odds: $3.65) as a very special filly after her superb win at Randwick recently. It’s rare for Waller to talk up a horse who doesn’t have many runs on the board, so you have to stand up and take notice of this filly. She’ll get back and look to blouse them late.
Roughie: Once again, Forever Loved (Best Odds: $6.00) maps very well and looks as if she’ll get a comfortable time, like she did last time out but was no match late for the top tip. Does get a pull in the weights, and the rail is out…so who knows?

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Race Two (13:30) : Tab Rewards Handicap (95) 1400m Form Guide

Back Me: Two horse race again for me in the shape of Group 1 class horses in Weary and Ecuador (Best Odds: $1.70). Was very confident Ecuador would win a couple of weeks back, but was a scratching. Since had an exhibition gallop last week and looked very sharp, as he has done every time he has stepped out in public this time in. He is the top pick in betting for the Doncaster, so you’d expect him to pretty much take of these, but I think the Big Danger is going to be a more than worthy rival.
Big Danger: Had Ecuador not been in the race, Weary (Best Odds: $5.00) would be starting at about $1.50. High class gelding who makes his Australian debut for Chris Waller. What I like about this horse is that he has trialled very well leading up to this, and last start ran a four length fourth to Moonlight Cloud, who probably runs second to Black Caviar as the best sprint/mile mare we have ever seen. He is going to be a force in the good races.
Roughie: Velrosso (Best Odds: $9.00) got too far back and couldn’t make up much ground last time over this track/distance behind Red Excitement. He is a good horse who should be forgiven for that failure. He can bounce back with luck.

$250 Ecuador Free Bet

Race Three (14:10) : Widden Stakes 1100m Form Guide

Back Me: Going for a bit of value here in Lucky Raquie (Best Odds: $10.00). I liked her alot on debut in the Gimcrack after trialling really well. She slotted into the one out/one back spot and looked as if she was going to launch in the straight, but she didn’t really want to let down due to inexperience. Spelled, and looked very sharp in a recent barrier trial win, with all indications being she could be in for an exciting Autumn.
Big Danger: Twirl (Best Odds: $2.00) was excellent on debut, running a three length second to star colt Rubick over the 1000m at Randwick. The blinkers immediately go on her now, drawn well, looks the logical threat.
Roughie: Giving Ygritte (Best Odds: $15.00) a sneaky chance in this. I was quite impressed by her debut win at Kembla, where she sat on the speed after doing a bit of work, then kicking again in the straight to win like a filly who can measure up to a race like this.

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Race Four (14:45) : Canonbury Stakes 1100m Form Guide

Back Me: With normal luck in running, Fighting Sun (Best Odds: $1.80) should take care of this lot. Really attacked the line over this track/distance on debut early last month, beating home Lightning Stakes contender Boomwaa. Trialled a couple of weeks back and looked very impressive, again attacking the line. Plenty to like about this colt and he should be winning.
Big Danger: Ghibellines (Best Odds: $4.00) was well found in betting when making his debut in the Breeders Plate, and after sitting outside the speed, he didn’t quite finish off the race, running fourth to Law. Immediately tipped out and has since trialled twice, winning on both occasions in stylish fashion. Drawn the paint, and has good early pace, which will be an advantage.
Roughie: You couldn’t have put anything more on Delectation (Best Odds: $5.50) at the 300m mark last start. He bolted to the lead, and looked home, but had a think about it and was nabbed late by Unequivocal. Can he measure up to these? Time will tell, but he does have the Waller polish and some very good formlines.

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Race Five (15:20) : Eskimo Prince Stakes 1200m Form Guide

Back Me: Best bet across Australia this weekend for me in El Roca (Best Odds: $2.60). Put together two very impressive wins across the ditch before going to Caulfield. He ran in the Guineas Prelude, and inexperience beat him there, wobbling badly on the turn and allowing Eclair Big Bang to nail him late. Then in the Guineas, he got badly held up by the tiring leaders, and never got clear til about the 200m mark, where his closing sectional was unbelievable. Could be one of the stars of the Autumn, and he’ll appreciate racing clockwise, the direction which gave him a dominant win at Stakes company at his second start.
Big Danger: Dissident (Best Odds: $3.30) is a high quality colt himself who was awesome during the Spring without winning. Put up an amazing performance in the Golden Rose, sitting wide with no cover on a hot speed and only being gunned down in the last few strides by Zoustar, then was a touch unlucky in the George Main behind Streama before racing like a tired horse when fourth in the Guineas. Races very well fresh and Cassidy has been booked.
Roughie: Pirandello (Best Odds: $8.00) is racing so well at the moment without winning since his dynamite first up victory. Thought he had the race won here last start, but was grabbed right on the post by Woodbine, a quality colt himself. This bloke is a massive query at 1200m, but he is rock hard fit and Shinn gets back aboard.

$250 El Roca Free Bet

Race Six (16:00) : Breeders Classic 1200m Form Guide

Back Me: I think residual fitness will win this with either Driefontein or White Sage. I think the value certainly lies with Driefontein (Best Odds: $9.50), so I’ll go with her each way. She is one of the better mares racing in Sydney who has performed well against the best. She was last seen in the Magic Millions Fillies and Mares Quality at the Gold Coast, and was enormous, sitting three wide, carrying 61kg and fighting off all rivals. Tumbles down in the weights, and if she pings away, she’ll get beautiful trip either leading or in the slipstream of Steps In Time.
Big Danger: White Sage (Best Odds: $2.70) proved she can mix with some good horses with a dominant win in the Festival Stakes in November. Trialled a couple of weeks back at Randwick and hit the line under a good hold when fifth to Rain Drum. Biggest test for her here, so betting wise, I think she is rock bottom, but is too good of a prospect to ignore.
Roughie: Red Tracer is the best mare in Australia, and when she retires, Catkins (Best Odds: $4.60) will take her mantle no doubt. She was outstanding in the Spring, highlighted by her last stride loss to her stablemate in one of the better editions of the Myer Classic we have seen. Lethal first up record, drawn the paint, Bowman on board, hard to beat.

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Race Seven (16:40) : Might And Power Handicap 1900m Form Guide

Back Me: Junoob (Best Odds: $2.60) was a real eye catcher a few weeks back over 1800m when a fast finishing second to Divertire, then backed up seven days later and bolted in over the 2000m, aided by a genuine tempo from Madam Nash. He doesn’t need a hot speed to show his best, so don’t be concerned by that. He has plenty of upside left and has the fitness edge over the big danger.
Big Danger: Vaquera (Best Odds: $4.00) worked to the line really nicely first up behind Red Excitement, poking her way through the field over the final 100m and charging through the line. Quickly jumping up to 1900m second up now, but I wouldn’t put it beyond a Gai Waterhouse runner.
Roughie: Honourable Aussie (Best Odds: $13.00) was game last week at Randwick when a close up fifth to Red Excitement and Kinnersley. He was restrained during the race, which isn’t his go. He is a horse that likes to roll along and do his own thing, and Blake Shinn rides the horse very well, so if there is going to be a boilover, it could come courtesy of this bloke.

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Race Eight (17:20) : Matt’s Happy 50th Birthday Handicap (85) 1200m Form Guide

Back Me: The likely racing pattern of the day won’t suit him, but the price on offer for Earnest Ernest (Best Odds: $13.00) is too good to pass up. He has raced twice now back from a break. Was stiff not to win first up behind Party Dress, then again got no luck last week when seventh to Target In Sight. Drawing a touch wide will help him get much needed galloping room, fitter…happy to have him here at good odds.
Big Danger: Plenty to like about the win of Dream Choice (Best Odds: $4.40) at Randwick last start. He looked in a bit of trouble 300m out, but when Nash got stuck in, the horse pinned his ears back and wanted to get the job done, which he done. He has been a revelation since joining the Darren Smith stable, and comes back to his former home track, where he has raced well on in the past. Hard to beat.
Roughie: Dee ‘N’ Gee (Best Odds: $11.00) probably wasn’t suited by the tight corners of Gosford when a close up fifth in the Takeover Target to Emblems. Been freshened up with a decent barrier trial win, drops in class, gets in well at the weights…I think $11 is overs.

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Best Bet: Race Five Number 4 El Roca (Best Odds: $2.60)

Next Best: Race Seven Number 2  Junoob (Best Odds: $2.60)

Best Roughie: Race Eight Number 13 Earnest Ernest (Best Odds: $13.00)

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: Field

Leg Two: Field

Leg Three: 2

Leg Four: 1, 2, 6, 7, 9

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.