Australian Cup Tips, Field Preview and Selections – 2020

The 2020 Australian Cup is one of two Group 1 races at Flemington on Saturday and we are set for an outstanding betting race.

It is Avilius that has opened as favourite in our Australian Cup betting market, but there is plenty of talent in this field and he will need to be at his very best to claim another Group 1 victory.

We have analysed every single horse in the field and our complete 2020 Australian Cup tips can be found below.

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Vow And Declare

Vow And Declare will return to the races for the first time since his famous win in the 2019 Melbourne Cup. 2000 metres is short of his best trip, but it would still not surprise to see him produce a big run fresh. His first-up effort in the Turnbull Stakes in the Spring, over this track and distance, was excellent and he should still have a decent amount of residual fitness from his Melbourne Cup campaign. $11 represents a touch of value.

Avilius

Avilius is back for another crack at the Australian Cup after he was beaten as a dominant favourite in the race 12 months ago. He returned to the races in the C.F. Orr Stakes at Caulfield, where he ran the fastest closing sectionals in the race, before he found the line strongly again to finish fourth in the Chipping Norton Stakes last week. It will be interesting to see how he handles the quick back-up, but the step-up in trip will suit and he is the class runner in this field.

Suzuka Devious

Suzuka Devious is yet to fire in Australia. He was no match for the leading contenders in the Peter Young Stakes first-up and this race is tougher again. It is hard to back the Japanese galloper on the back of that effort.

Harlem

Harlem has the chance to become the first horse in history to win the Australian Cup on three occasions. There is an argument to be made that he is going better than he was 12 months ago. He didn’t have a great deal of luck in either the Carlyon Cup or the Peter Young Stakes and there is no doubt that he is better suited to Flemington. The Champs Elysees gelding will be in the mix.

Kings Will Dream

Kings Will Dream is the value runner in the Australian Cup. He won the Turnbull Stakes third-up over this track and distance in the Spring and his lead-up form has been even better this campaign. Kings Will Dream found the line nicely to finish fourth in the C.F. Orr Stakes at Caulfield and he was only narrowly beaten by Miss Siska in the Peter Young Stakes. He is another galloper that is better suited over 2000 metres and Flemington is the ideal track for him. With even luck in running from barrier one, he will prove tough to hold out.

Regal Power

Regal Power made his Melbourne racing debut in the Peter Young Stakes and he found the line nicely in the concluding stages to finish fourth. The step-up to 2000 metres will suit him, but the wide barrier draw has not helped his chances. William Pike will settle him a long way back from that draw and he will need to be good in order to win this contest.

Fifty Stars

Fifty Stars will be on the quick back-up after he returned to winning form in the Blamey Stakes last weekend. He finished fifth behind Magic Wand in the Mackinnon Stakes during the Spring Racing Carnival, over this track and distance, and I think that might be his level in Group 1 weight-for-age company.

Mirage Dancer

Mirage Dancer is one of the most interesting runners in the Australian Cup field. He finished at the tail of the field when he returned to the races in the C.F. Orr Stakes, but he produced a much improved effort in the Peter Young Stakes to finish third. The Frankel entire ran the fastest closing sectionals of the race against the pattern of the day and he really should take good improvement from that effort. He is another galloper that represents value at his current price.

Southern France

Southern France failed to fire when he made his Australian racing debut in the Melbourne Cup, but he bounced back from that effort to win the Zipping Classic. I think that he will be better suited over further and we should probably expect to see the best of him in races like The BMW and the Sydney Cup.

Hush Writer

Hush Writer has been sent to Melbourne after finishing a flat seventh behind Alizee in the Apollo Stakes. Brad Rawiller will ride him aggressively in the early stages of this contest and he will add some tempo to a race that doesn’t have a huge amount of it. It wouldn’t surprise if he was in the race for a long way, but it is tough to see him winning.

Venice Beach

Venice Beach returned from a lengthy lay-off with a flat effort at Caulfield. This race is much tougher and he is one of the extreme outsiders in this race for a reason.

Cape Of Good Hope

Cape Of Good Hope won the Ladbrokes Stakes in his Australian racing debut, but has not been able to replicate that performance since. He finished at the tail of the field in the Futurity Stakes and it is impossible to back him in this race off that effort.

Constantinople

Constantinople finished at the tail of the field in the Peter Young Stakes and he was found to be lame at the conclusion of the contest. There is no doubt that he has ability, his run in the Caulfield Cup was excellent, but I am not convinced that he has come up this campaign.

Miss Siska

Miss Siska received every possible favor in the run in the Peter Young Stakes and I don’t think that she will get that again in the Australian Cup. Grahame Begg has done a great job with the So You Think mare and she never runs a bad race, but I’m not sure that she has the upside to win a strong edition of the Australian Cup.

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