This one also looks set to be a tight one, with both men coming into this match in fine form and there may be a little bit of value on underdog Goffin here.

Dimitrov is often priced up too short and 1.56 appears skinny again and especially with the Belgian having better service hold/break numbers over the past year on outdoor hard than Dimitrov.

It could be argued that Dimitrov was rather fortunate in his fourth round match against Denis Istomin, with the latter hitting the wall physically after a fine start that could have seen him go two sets up.

Goffin was impressive on a warm day against Dominic Thiem and he has a decent shot at making a maiden Grand Slam semi final in his second main level career clash with Dimitrov.

The pair have met four times before at all levels and Dimitrov has won all four, but two of those were at Futures level and a third at Challenger level – all on clay years ago – so not really relevant to this upcoming match.

Dimitrov was a 1.3 chance in the only main level match he’s played against Goffin and that was in the 2014 US Open when Goffin won the opener on a bagel, but couldn’t keep his level up on a very hot and humid day.

Goffin’s serve has improved since then and he was very good in that department against Thiem, hitting 15 aces, and if he serves that well again and the weather isn’t too hot (and the forecast says it won’t be) I give the Belgian every chance.

I could see this one going long as well, but at 2.43 I’m prepared to take a chance on Goffin, whose 81.8% service holds and 27.7% breaks (109.5 total) on outdoor hard at main level over the past year give him the edge on Dimitrov who’s at 107.1 (83.3% holds/23.8% breaks).

The Belgian’s hold percentage is up on his 77.3% career average in these conditions, which backs up the idea that his serve is improving, while his return stat is pretty much the same.

I’m not sure these odds today have fully taken that into account and the underdog is the wager for me.