For the past 10 years Rafael Nadal has been virtually unbeatable at Roland Garros, but that could all change at this year’s French Open as the Spaniard’s woes continue on the clay courts.
Nadal, stunned in the final of the Madrid Masters last week by Britain’s Andy Murray, has won only one tournament – Buenos Aires – on his favoured surface this year.
Having already lost twice this year to Italian Fabio Fognini, Serbian rival Novak Djokovic and Murray, the 14-time grand slam winner was eliminated from the quarter-finals of the Italian Open by Stan Wawrinka, who also beat Nadal to the Australian Open title.
If Nadal’s defeat to Murray was confirmation that things were not quite going to plan, his failure to reach the latter stages in Rome means he will likely miss out on top seeding for Roland Garros.
Seedings for the second grand slam of the year, which begins on May 24, will be announced by the French Open organisers shortly, and Nadal is unlikely to be given the luxury of avoiding any of the top four seeds until the quarter-finals.
Barring 2009, when Sweden’s Robin Soderling upset him in Paris, Nadal has won the French Open every year since 2005, stretching his record to nine titles in 2014 last year with victory over Djokovic.
It goes without saying Nadal’s struggles have not gone unnoticed.
Djokovic and Swiss Roger Federer, who meet in the final of the Italian Open, have both commented on the Spaniard’s current dilemma.
Although neither have dismissed Nadal, they admit his virtually barren run on clay has surprised.
“I think to be honest it surprised everybody considering his record on clay courts over the years,” said Djokovic.
“It’s something that hasn’t happened in the last ten years. But he’s human as well and does have his periods where he’s not confident or not winning matches.
“This is the surface that always allowed him to regain his confidence if he was losing more on hard courts than clay courts. Whenever he would get to the clay season he would win matches and then feel like he’s back on the right path.
“This year is quite different and it will be interesting to see how he bounces back for Roland Garros, the most successful tournament he has ever played in his career.”
Given Nadal’s record in Paris, few will rule the Spaniard out – even if he has to meet a top seed like Djokovic as early as the quarter-finals.
Federer, meanwhile, said Nadal has the ability to battle his way to a 10th title in the French capital.
“You may be shocked to hear that at times we doubt ourselves, and anybody who says something else is lying to you,” said Federer.
“But that to me is no news, that’s just normal for any player out there. It seems that he’s doing just fine and regardless of what anybody says to me, he is the favourite for the French Open.
“That guy has only lost once in 10 years, there’s no way past that guy being the favourite for that tournament.”