What could look better on paper for Federer than a quarter final of a major against an opponent he double bageled last time they met and who had never been past the round of 32 at a major until this week?
You’ve got to hand it to the veteran Swiss maestro, who’s now favourite with many layers to win a first Grand Slam title since Wimbledon 2012, and he’s a warm order to beat Zverev at around the 1.1 mark.
Fast hard courts have rarely been a preferred surface for Zverev the elder, who said after his heavy defeat by Jack Sock at the US Open last year: “There wasn’t much I could do. He needs an opponent who can get him in trouble with a big serve or a fast game, so my brother would have been a better match-up. I like to have time and a structure in my game and he took that away.”
Time is something that he won’t get against Federer in these conditions and Zverev had better hope that the five sets against Kei Nishikori has taken a fair bit out of the 35-year-old’s legs.
And it’s a reasonable hope for Zverev because Federer’s record is not the best in matches played after a five setter the previous round in Grand Slams.
The last four times that Fed has won a five setter at a major he’s lost in the next round going back to the Australian Open of 2013, with the last time he won one being Wimbledon 2012 when he beat Xavier Malisse in four after beating Julien Benneteau in five.
It’s hard to see him losing this one though and the only wager that’s of interest to me here is the under 32.5 games, but I think I’ll pass on this match.


