After a week off, The UFC is back at the APEX and it’s being headlined by a pay-per-view calibre main event.
Grant Dawson will face off with the unranked Bobby Green who last fought and submitted the veteran Tony Ferguson.
Our best bets and the full preview of UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs Green can be found below:
Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green
Tip: Grant Dawson by KO/TKO @ $6.25
Grant Dawson is back in the octagon and he’s putting his number 10 ranking on the line against the unranked Bobby Green.
I believe this fight will be a dominant performance by “KGD” Grant Dawson and here are the numbers behind that theory.
The 29-year-old lightweight has been on an absolute hot streak since joining the UFC roster, having not lost a professional bout since 2016 at KC Fighting Alliance 18.
With only 3 wins coming by way of decision, I don’t see this bout going the distance.
Although Dawson has 13 of his 20 wins coming by way of submission, I see great value in Dawson winning this bout by way of knockout.
Alex Morono vs Joaquin Buckley
Tip: Joaquin Buckley KO/TKO Round 2 @ $5.75
Alex “The Great White” Morono will make his return to the octagon against “New Mansa” Joaquin Buckley.
Both fighters haven’t been in the octagon since May of this year, and both need to gather some momentum if they’d like to see themselves in the top 15 anytime soon.
Buckley has 12 of his 16 wins coming by way of knockout and 8 of those knockouts in the second round.
38% of Morono’s defeats have come by way of knockout
I love the value for Joaquin Buckley to win via knockout in the second round.
Alexander Hernandez vs Bill Algeo
Tip: Alexander Hernandez via points @ TBC
Alexander “The Great Ape” Hernandez returns to the octagon for the first time since February of this year and he’s taking on A submission specialist by the name of Bill “Senor Prefecto” Algeo.
Hernandez is no stranger to finishing the fight quickly, he has 7 first round finishes and the punching power to get the job done.
I see great value in Hernandez to get the job done via decision – he has won 3 of his last 4 fights in the UFC that have gone the distance.
In Bill Algeo’s 24 Professional fights, the 34-year-old has gone the distance on 11 occasions and lost five of them.
71% of Algeo’s defeats have come by way of decision which is why my best bet is Alexander Hernandez via points.
