Penrith has been written off for the NRL Premiership by TAB punters with the Storm holding a whopping 94 percent of the Head-to-head market for Saturday’s second Preliminary Final.
After opening at $1.50 for the Grand Final qualifier, Melbourne are now $1.32 with TAB taking several bets of $10,000 or more, while the friendless Panthers have drifted from $2.60 to $3.50 and then back to $3.40.
Penrith has also blown out in TAB’s Premiership market from $4.25 to $5 and while they remain the best backed team to win the title, the Storm has closed the gap significantly this week and firmed as $1.80 favourites. Manly has enjoyed a flurry of support at $6.50 over the past two days (see attached graph).
A Melbourne-South Sydney ($2.20) Grand Final has been the most supported option by TAB punters, with the Rabbitohs ($1.70) well backed to beat Manly ($2.15) on Friday night and progress to the decider. There have been notable bets including a $10,000 Head-to-Head on Souths at $1.74 and another $10,000 at $1.73.
NRL – Preliminary Finals
(Betting percentages attached)
$1.70 South Sydney (were $1.80)
$2.15 Manly (were $2.00)
$1.32 Melbourne (were $1.50)
$3.40 Penrith (were $2.60)
TAB – NRL Premiership
(Betting percentages attached)
$1.80 Melbourne (were $2.00)
$5.00 Penrith (were $4.25)
$5.50 South Sydney
$6.50 Manly (were $8.00)
TAB – NRL Quinella
$2.20 Melbourne/South Sydney (17%)
$2.80 Manly/Melbourne (5%)
$6.00 Penrith/South Sydney (11%)
$7.50 Manly/Penrith (4.5%)
*Melbourne/Penrith had held 49%
TAB – NRL Big Bets
South Sydney v Manly
$10,000 on South Sydney H2H @ $1.73
$10,000 on South Sydney H2H @ $1.74
$5,000 on Manly H2H @ $2.15
*$7,000 on Manly as Premiership Winner
Melbourne v Penrith
$10,500 on Melbourne H2H @ $1.36
$10,000 on Melbourne H2H @ $1.42
$10,000 on Melbourne H2H @ $1.35
$10,000 on Melbourne H2H @ $1.37
TAB – NRL Premiership 2022
$5.50 Melbourne
$6.00 Penrith
$7.00 Manly
$8.00 South Sydney
$9.00 Roosters
$12 Parramatta
$15 Gold Coast
$19 Canberra
$21 Cronulla
Newcastle
$23 Bulldogs
$26 Brisbane
$34 Warriors
North Queensland
$41 Wests Tigers
$51 St George Illawarra