We take a look at the odds and markets for this years 2022 NRL season in which the Penrith Panthers head into as favourites slightly ahead of the Melbourne Storm and the Sydney Roosters.
TAB Odds
NRL Premiership 2022
$5.00 Penrith
- Penrith opened as title favourites last year and were initially best backed but are now 5th in the Premiership market with 10% of the hold. One punter has had $2,500 on a Panthers-Storm Grand Final at $11.
Top 4: $1.55 Final 8: $1.08 Miss The Top 8: $6.50 Most Losses: $126
$5.50 Melbourne
- The Storm went up at $6 last year and tightened to $5.50 after the draw was released. They’re second best backed for the title with 19% of the hold, highlighted by a $9,900 outlay at $5.50.
Top 4: $1.60 Final 8: $1.10 Miss The Top 8: $6 Most Losses: $126
$6.00 Roosters
- The Roosters opened at $8 but moved to $7.50 with the announcement of fixtures and have since been far and away the best backed to lift the trophy with 25% of the money.
Top 4: $1.70 Final 8: $1.14 Miss The Top 8: $5 Most Losses: $101
$9.00 Manly
- Manly were priced at $7.50 after their stellar 2021 but were promptly kicked off the third line of betting by the Roosters. There’s still solid money being attracted however with 11% of the Premiership market.
Top 4: $1.85 Final 8: $1.16 Miss The Top 8: $4.75 Most Losses: $67
$10 South Sydney
- The Rabbitohs opened at $10 and tightened to $9 before being wound out a touch following the Charity Shield loss. They’re sixth best backed to win the Premiership but well supported in the To Miss The Top Four market with a $3,500 bet at $1.70 the most notable.
Top 4: $2.15 Final 8: $1.25 Miss The Top 8: $3.70 Most Losses: $51
$13 Parramatta
- The Eels were set at $13 but drifted to $15 with the unveiling of the draw. Punters were clearly impressed with their trial form and they were bought back into $13 and are rivalling Melbourne as the second best backed to win the title with 15% of the Premiership money.
Top 4: $3.50 Final 8: $1.50 Miss The Top 8: $2.45 Most Losses: $41
$21 Cronulla
- The new-look Sharks opened at $21 with TAB taking early money on them in multiple markets including To Make The Eight. They tightened into $17 for the Premiership but are back to $21 following the trials. They’re currently the seventh best supported side.
Top 4: $4.25 Final 8: $1.85 Miss The Top 8: $1.85 Most Losses: $34
$23 Gold Coast
- The Titans opened at $17 and were pushed out to $19 then $23. They have been unloved so far from TAB punters and are rivalling Newcastle as the second worst backed side in the Premiership market.
Top 4: $5.50 Final 8: $2 Miss The Top 8: $1.75 Most Losses: $21
$26 Bulldogs
- Canterbury hovered at $23 all pre-season with solid money early but that has dried up and they’ve been pushed out to $26 after the trials.
Top 4: $7.50 Final 8: $2.75 Miss The Top 8: $1.40 Most Losses: $13
$26 Brisbane
- Despite their trial form TAB traders are cautiously watching for the Adam Reynolds impact on the Broncos, keeping them at $26 where the money remains steady as the eighth most backed side to win the Grand Final. One punter believes they’ll improve on last season with a $2,500 bet at $3 for them make the Final Eight.
Top 4: $7.00 Final 8: $2.50 Miss The Top 8: $1.48 Most Losses: $15
$26 Canberra
- The Raiders opened at $19 but with little market interest for the Premiership they have drifted to $26 following the trials.
Top 4: $6.50 Final 8: $2.15 Miss The Top 8: $1.65 Most Losses: $17
$29 Newcastle
- Punters appear ready to write the Knights off. They’re the second worst backed team and have drifted from $21 to $29 with little interest in the Premiership market. They’re also best backed in the Most Loses market and To Miss The Eight market.
Top 4: $8 Final 8: $2.75 Miss The Top 8: $1.40 Most Losses: $8
$41 St George Illawarra
- The Dragons opened at $51, the longest odds in the Premiership market – which was the first time it had ever happened to the joint venture club. They shortened into $34 with a good impression in trials and the Charity Shield but have been pushed out again with a tough draw to start the season. There has been a few solid bets on them from Dragons faithful and they’re the ninth most supported side in the title market.
Top 4: $10 Final 8: $3 Miss The Top 8: $1.30 Most Losses: $5.50
$41 Warriors
- Opened at $34 with a wait and watch on trial form but have slipped to $41 following that with little love from TAB punters. They’re the fourth worst supported side holding only a fraction more than Gold Coast and Newcastle in the Premiership market.
Top 4: $10 Final 8: $4 Miss The Top 8: $1.20 Most Losses: $7.50
$67 Wests Tigers
- The Tigers opened at $41, the second longest odds, and haven’t shifted. They do however have more support in the Premiership market than the Titans, Warriors, Knights and Cowboys but they’re second best backed to finish with The Most Losses.
Top 4: $12 Final 8: $5 Miss The Top 8: $1.14 Most Losses: $3.50
$67 North Queensland
- The worst backed side to win the Grand Final, the Cowboys opened at $41 and the trial form appears to have given no encouragement to TAB punters. They’ve blown out to $67 to win the Premiership and are third best backed in The Most Losses market.
Top 4: $11 Final 8: $4.50 Miss The Top 8: $1.17 Most Losses: $4.25
Top Try Scorer
- Punters think Xavier Coates’ switch from Brisbane to Melbourne is going to reap rewards for both them and the Storm with the Queensland State of Origin winger best backed in TAB’s Top Try Scorer market. Manly duo Tom Trbojevic and Jason Saab are the next best supported ahead of market favourite Alex Johnston. Of the Roughies, there has been good money for the Dragons Tyrell Sloane at $67 and the Broncos Selwyn Cobbo at $101.
$7.50 A.Johnston
$8.00 X.Coates
$9.00 T.Trbojevic
$10 J.Saab
$15 B.To’o
R.Garrick
$17 J.Addo-Carr
R.Papenhuyzen
J.Tedesco
$19+ Others quoted
Top Point Scorer
- Manly’s Reuben Garrick is fifth best backed to the Top Try Scorer as well as best backed in the Top Point Scorer market. Latrell Mitchell is the next most popular from Nathan Cleary and Ryan Papenhuyzen. A perennial challenger, Adam Reynolds ($26) has been written-off by punters with traders believing he’ll struggle for points from a lack of tries at Brisbane. New Bulldog Matt Burton has had solid support at a juicy $67.
$2.40 R.Garrick
$5.00 R.Papenhuyzen
$5.50 L.Mitchell
$7.00 N.Cleary
$13 A.Keighran
$21 Z.Lomax
N.Hynes
M.Moses
$23+ Others quoted