The Rosebud Tips – 2015

If the initial markets are correct, this Saturday’s Randwick meeting is shaping up as a very prosperous one for the Hawkes Racing team. They have four runners entered across as many races with each galloper the ruling favourite in their respective race, including Rageese in The Rosebud. Two impressive efforts during the autumn coupled with an impressive trial in readiness for his return to racing this weekend, has seen him open up the $2.90 favourite. Some quality colts have won this race recently, Scissor Kick last year and Eurozone the year prior to that that and although this will only be his fourth start, and if successful, his first career win, the son of Street Cry has certainly demonstrated the ability in previous starts. Sebring Sun ($4) is on the second line of betting with both Voilier and Let’s Make It Rain, at $7.00

 

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1. RAGEESE – T Berry (5) 59kgs

Started double figure odds in both starts during a short autumn campaign but with those runs resulting in second place finishes in the G2 Pago Pago Stakes, and G1 Sires Produce Stakes behind Prince of Dubai, a similar price won’t be on offer here. The Hawkes Racing runner looks set to pick up from where he left off judging by his recent barrier trial win and looks very hard to beat.

 

2. VOILIER – T Angland (2)

Showed good ability in each of his first two starts, which resulted in a win and a second to Headwater in the G2 Silver Slipper, but was spelled after coming to the end of his first prep when last of five in the G2 Todman. Returned to racing with a pleasing fourth (3.8 lengths) behind Japonisme and King’s Troop (winner Wednesday) in Open company. Had 59.5kgs and a wet track to contend with first up but was warming up nicely late. Fitter and rates a good chance.

 

3. LET’S MAKE IT RAIN – S Clipperton (8)

Sent out a 9/1 shot in a five horse field last start, his second run back from a spell, but a well rated front-running ride by Clipperton around the tight Canterbury track, saw the Ron Quinton trained galloper hold off the challengers to win by a length. Will find the Randwick circuit more difficult to secure the cheap run in front he’ll need to make it back-to-back wins.

 

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4. SEBRING SUN – B Avdulla (4)

The Gary Portelli galloper broke his maiden statue in impressive fashion when first up in a Canterbury Maiden (1200m). He settled well back from the widest gate in a field of thirteen runners but when angling into clear room at the top of the straight and balancing up, unleashed a big finish to claim Montauk by a neck. Unlucky not to have early earned some black-type with a luckless run in the Listed Lonhro Plate last campaign but can make amends here.

 

5. VANBRUGH – G Schofield (6)

Only fitness and a heavy track denied him a first up victory when a narrow second to Surfin’ Safari at Rosehill. That effort saw him sent out an even money favourite at Canterbury at his next and most recent start, where he was expected to easily account for his four rivals however despite being in the right spot when they turned, the son of Encosta De Lago struggled in the run home and finished a disappointing fourth (3.7 lengths) behind Let’s Make It Rain. Clearly a better horse than that and worth forgiving second up on a heavy track but he does meet some handy ones here.

 

6. ZOUTENANT – T Clark (3)

Couldn’t capitalise on his good position first up in heavy conditions and folded to run second to last (10.9 lengths) behind Japonism. Only slightly better at his only start since which saw the Kevin Moses trained galloper finish a well beaten (5.5 lengths) to the same horse in a BM 72 (1100m). A firmer surface will no doubt suit but hard to see that being enough for him to make the improvement required to win here.

 

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7. TATOOSH – D Beasley (1)

Paul Perry’s gelding won two country races in strong fashion before coming to town and applying himself well. He was finishing strongly when third (1.4 lengths) behind Japonism and King’s Troop (Voilier 4th) before again stretching out nicely to get within a length of Let’s Make It Rain, who dominated from the front, at Canterbury. Has some good form reference around him at the moment and well worth connections having crack at a race like this.

 

8. CAN BE BOSSY – C Reith (7)

Sent out at 50/1 on debut before running fifth (3 lengths) after leading the field, in a Kembla Grange Maiden before winning a 2yo Handicap in convincing style at Moruya. It’s a long way from Moruya to a Group 2 race at Moruya.

 

RACE OVERVIEW –

Small field here with Can Be Bossy and Let’s Make It Rain likely to set the pace and cross from their wide gates. Tatoosh is fit and from the inside gate, just might try and settle a little closer than in previous starts, similarly for Voilier who jumps from gate 2. They’ll each should be in the right spot to challenge over the rise but will they be able to hold out the closers Sebring Sun and Rageese?

1. RAGEESE

2. VOILIER

3. SEBRING SUN

4. TATOOSH

 

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