SA Derby Tips – 2015

It’s the solitary filly in a capacity field of sixteen runners that is stealing the spotlight leading into this weekend’s Group 1 South Australian Derby. Delicacy will be shooting for six straight wins and if successful, give her trainer Grant Williams his second Group 1 win in as many weeks after she impressively won the Australian Oaks last Saturday. Only a handful of fillies have taken on the boys in recent years with most faring well. Zarita was successful in 2008, Lalla Rookh finished third in 2011 and last year, Scratchy Bottom was nosed out on the line.
Quite rightly, Delicacy dominates the betting for the race at $2.80 with October Date and Manapine the only others under double figure odds at $8.50 and $8.00 respectively.

 

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1. WERTHER – N Callow (18)

New Zealand galloper who has made the trip across after winning three of his past five outings, the most recent of which was in the G2 Championship Stakes (2100m) at Ellerslie three weeks ago. The son of Tavistock is improving with each run and was strong at the end of his last outing, so doubt the trip will pose a problem. Horror draw should be the only factor preventing him from running well.

 

2. OCTOBER DATE – S Cahill (2)

Five weeks after closing well to run fourth in the G2 Alister Clark Stakes (2040m) behind Chill Party, the Nick Smart trained galloper returned home to win the G3 Chairman’s Stakes (2020m) narrowly from Maysoor at Morphettville
Made a sweeping run from last as they passed the 600m in the Chairman’s and with a 4 ¼ length margin to the third horse Chu Chu Charlie, it was a comprehensive victory. One that sees him sure to be involved in the finish again.

 

3. MAGICOOL – D Oliver (20)

Won his third race at start number ten two runs back, nosing out Triple Gold at Caulfield over 2000m before having no luck whatsoever in the G3 Chairman’s Handicap at Morphettville. From in inside gate the Mark Kavanagh gelding found himself in an awkward position on the fence turning and then held up for a run when searching for a run in the straight. Should’ve finished much closer than the 6.8 length eighth that he did but the outside gate makes any redemption here extremely tough.

 

4. BOOM TIME – V Duric (9)

The Western Australian galloper will be stepping out here for the first time under the care of new trainer Peter Moody. The son of Flying Spur led the field for home in his most recent start, the WATC Derby (2400m) four weeks back, where he finished second to last week’s Australasian Oaks winner Delicacy. That’s a good form reference heading into this race and gives him a legitimate place chance here.

 

5. MANAPINE – D Dunn (6)

Drew wide and settled last in a field of fifteen when sixth as the $3F at Racing.com Park two starts back but punters stuck with him in the Listed Galilee Final (2500m) at his following run, and were rewarded. Nigel Blackiston’s gelding toughed out the 2500m event well, denying Oncidium Ruler by a head on the line. Tougher opposition here but is drawn well here and Dunn should have him in the firing line for most of the race from that alley.

 

6. ALLERGIC – P Maloney (1)

Made it back-to-back wins in a BM 70 (2060m) at Cranbourne three weeks back, joining the leaders on the turn before recording a length win over Light Motion. The son of Street Cry is on an upward spiral and building a good record over the middle distances. Whilst this is a step up again, a significant one coming off a BM 70, he’ll have his share of supporters.

 

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7. CHU CHU CHARLIE – D Yendall (10)

Yet to miss a place in eight starts, two of which he has won. Settled midfield in his most recent outing, the G3 Chairman’s Handicap (2020m), and made his run with eventual winner October Date rounding the turn. He never gave up in the straight but finished a well-beaten third (4.3 lengths) and it is hard to see how he turns the table on the pair who beat him home last start.

 

8. ALL I SURVEY – Rhys McLeod (7)

From the yard of Pat Carey, a noted trainer of stayers, this Domesday gelding has caught the eye finishing in a strong manner at his past two outings. He claimed third (3 lengths) behind Manapine and Oncidium Ruler in the Listed Galilee Final (2500m) two back before getting within a head of Master Of Arts over 2000m at Caulfield last weekend. Going well and best not to underestimate.

 

9. TRIPLE GOLD – L Nolen (3)

Sent out the $3F at Cranbourne after a luckless nose second to Magicool at Caulfield but unfortunately for his supporters and connections, nothing much when right again for the Peter Moody trained galloper and he finished fifth (5.8 lengths). Found plenty of trouble on the turn and then again in the straight when appearing to work into the race strongly. Nolen will be keen to make amends for last start and with any kind of luck, he could be aiming for three straight.

 

10. LUCQUES – (17)

The well bred son of High Chaparral, out of G1 placed mare Picholine, just struggling at present to live up to the expectations of his bloodlines. After winning a BM 70 at Kyneton (1800m) by a head as the $3.80 favourite, the Ellerton/Zahra trained runner was well accounted for in the Chairman’s Handicap (2020m) last start, finishing a well beaten (8.6 lengths) behind October Date. Cannot win here off of that effort.

 

11. CRIMSON CAPE – M Zahra (8)

Robert Smerdon’s runner backed up his maiden win at Geelong with a solid half-length win at Ballart (BM 64, 2200m).
A good win last time out given he drew wide, overcame interference soon after the start and had to dig deep late for the win. He will continue to win races off of that effort just not sure at this stage of his career; a race such as this will be one of them.

 

12. CUBAN FIGHTER –

Finally, at start number 12, the son of Teofilo broke through for his maiden win, recording a comfortable 2.2 length victory on a heavy track at Seymour. He backed that up with a solid on-pace second (3.3 lengths) to Authoritarian in the VRC St Leger (2800m) on a slow track. Good effort behind a promising type last time out but would need wet conditions here to include him as a genuine possibility.

 

13. TURBO STREET – M Neilson (19)

Closed well to run second, his third second-placing from four starts this campaign, when finishing a length behind Jim’s Journey in the Adelaide Guineas (1800m) before finding the step up in class and distance a shade too strong for him, running sixth (4.6 lengths) in October Date’s G3 Chairman’s Handicap. That was his second attempt at a staying feature, the first last year’s 3yo Geelong Classic, and he has been well accounted for on both occasions. Likely to find it hard again here too especially from such a wide gate.

 

14. MAYSOOR – D Tourneur (5)

Went within a head of breaking his maiden status in the best possible way when second to October Date in the G3 Chairman’s Handicap on Anzac Day. It took a big effort to shade the Mick Price trained colt and there was a healthy margin, over four lengths, to the third-placed horse. To be ridden by top local hoop, drawn well and despite not yet having won a race, rates highly.

 

15. TIME WALKER – Steve Arnold (12)

By Pentire out of a Zabeel mare, probably the best bred horse for a race such as this and his last start fourth (4.4 lengths) in the G3 Chairman’s Stakes, where he continued to close from well back in the field, wold give him some hope of a place chance. However, he still has a margin of near five lengths to make up on those who finished in front of him last time out and it’s hard to see from where he’ll make that kind of improvement.

 

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16. DELICACY – Peter Hall (14)

Recorded her fifth straight win in last week’s Australian Oaks by recording a most impressive 1.3 length victory over G1 winner Fenway. Well ridden from a handy draw last time out and rounded her opposition up quickly when presented at the 200m mark. The margin could’ve been much greater as she was allowed to coast through the last 50m.
Extremely talented filly who can handle the quick back-up and wider draw here.

 

17. GIFTED LAD – M Walker (4)

NZ gelding who made the trip to Australia for the VRC St Leger (2800m) after recording his second victory in a BM 65 (1950m) at Ellerslie by a comprehensive 4.5 lengths. He settled well back in the Leger before making his move leaving the 800m, from which point he travelled three wide. He battled on strongly in the straight despite being no match for winner Authoritarian and finished third (3.5 lengths). Better suited back to 2400m, NZ trainer has teamed up with NZ jockey. One for some value?

 

18. LIGHT MOTION – (13)

Finished second in a BM 64 (1600m) at Sandown two back before three weeks later, finishing second again when finding Allergic too good in a BM 70 (2060m). That was only his third run in this prep and with each run being well spaced, expect him to still be improving but not at enough of a rate to be winning here.

 

19. THERMOGENIC – (15)

Passed fit to run at the barriers when lining up in the G3 Chairmans’ Stakes (2020m) last start and just held his midfield position in the run to the line, finishing fifth (4.6 lengths). Only win from his eight starts came at his second outing, an Echuca Maiden, and on recent efforts, hard to see him winning.

 

20. GRUMPY GURU – Clare Lindop (11)

Laid in when running home for third (2.6 lengths) in a RST 62 (1608m) at Balaclava and was only plugging home out wide in last week’s Chairmans’ Stakes (2020m) when seventh (5 lengths) behind October Date. Should he get a run as fourth emergency, has too much ground to make up on those who beat him home last time out.

 

RACE OVERVIEW –

Despite the quick back-up and wide draw, keep coming back to Delicacy here after recalling the ease in which she coasted to the line last week. October Date’s win was outstanding in the Chairman’s and that also means Maysoor, who from a good draw seems to be well over the price at $13.00, comes into calculations as well. Shopping for value it should be no surprise that Pat Carey’s All I Survey has been an early shortener ($17.00 into $13.00) white Triple Gold ($17.00) and Allergic ($15.00) rate next best.
1. DELICACY

2. OCTOBER DATE

3. MAYSOOR

4. ALL I SURVEY

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