Rosehill Guineas 2012 tips, preview and selections

I wish I had the opportunity to preview this race in entirety – with a horse by horse preview. Unfortunately, due to the large previews for the Dubai races, I have not had the opportunity to do that this year.

It is a great race though. We thought the Randwick Guineas was a culmination of all the formlines, but the Rosehill Guineas takes it to another level. There is the prominent New Zealand form, the Melbourne form through the Australian Guineas and the Alister Clark Stakes, the Sydney form through the Hobartville Stakes and the Randwick Guineas, and a small number from other formlines. And so it is tough to try and find a winner from the different formlines.

Last years Group 1 Rosehill Guineas winner Jimmy Choux

As a follower of New Zealand racing, I am convinced that SILENT ACHIEVER is the most promising horse in the race. This filly has been simply outstanding across the Tasman, winning the NZ Derby, the Avondale Guineas and the Waikato Guineas at her last three starts. She made Rock ‘n’ Pop, the NZ 2000 Guineas winner and a rival here, look inferior in the NZ Derby. Barrier 17 may be difficult but I think she’s at a similar level to Mosheen and so if Bowman rides her right, she will win.

The biggest danger is my old mate STRIKE THE STARS, who I’ve tipped many times! He’s still only won the one race, last year’s Gloaming Stakes, but he’s run some promising races. He’s going to win one of these days, just as everyone’s given up on him. Could it be today? It’s definitely possible. He’s definitely bred to get the distance, and despite the fact he flopped at his only try at 2000m, I think that was probably an abnormality. Could come with a late dash.

SAID COM is another who might come with a late dash. Was ridden closer to the speed in the Randwick Guineas, when given an absolutely perfect ride by Dwayne Dunn. He looked the winner until Mosheen came from nowhere. He’ll be freshened up after this for the Doncaster Mile, but I think 2000m should suit him down to the ground.

And for fourth, go with INDUNA who is a massive price. His two runs this preparation haven’t been great, but he didn’t show anything until he got to 1900m last prep. Up to 2000m, third up, he should be ready to fire. But go the Kiwi filly!!!

18 – SILENT ACHIEVER
6 – STRIKE THE STARS
10 – SAID COM
2 – INDUNA

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