Morphettville racecourse will host an eight race meeting on Goodwood Stakes day with all fields except the feature race giving punters plenty of value for their bets.
Showers are predicted at Morphettville tomorrow although there shouldn’t be any rain into later in the day so the track should be a Dead allowing for confident early market betting.
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Race One: National Stakes 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: Iconic has found a very winnable race on Saturday and there doesn’t seem to be much speed so he should be able to dictate from the front and be hard to beat.
Don’t Back Me: Bring A Ring was left flat footed before running on late although finds a better field here and id expect a similar result.
Big Danger: The Huntress has won both of her career starts including an easy win at Caulfield last start and looks the big danger.
Roughie: Opening Bell ran well in a Victorian maiden last start, finds a tough field here but will improve from last start.
$500 Iconic Free Bet
Race Two: Sportingbet Sa Fillies Classic 2500m Form Guide
Back Me: Summerbliss has been contesting some of the best three year old races in the country so the step back in class should see her winning on Saturday.
Don’t Back Me: Happy Highway has won her last two starts but this race is too classy for her.
Big Danger: La Zuma flew home last start and looked like she will be winning next start although she may not have the class of our on top selection but i think they will be the too fighting the race out.
Roughie: Wowee didn’t have any luck last start in a very good race at Caulfield. Stable has decided to back him up which suggests their confident and im expecting an improved showing.
$500 Summerbliss Free Bet
Race Three: Queen’s Cup 2500m Form Guide
Back Me: Finiguerra loves Morphettville were he has only missed the one placing from eight starts. Didn’t do much last start but is a classy runner and can bounce back.
Don’t Back Me: Motivado has everything to suit at Caulfield last start were he went back in a fast run race but didn’t hit the line that well which is a concern.
Big Danger: Shiny Buttons was well beaten in the Warrnambool Cup last start but will be better on top of the ground and his run before that was very good at Flemington and his well weighted here.
Roughie: Cable Bay finished off the race very well last start and it’s surprising to see him at $17 in this race, which is overs.
$500 Finiguerra Free Bet
Race Four: Centaurea Stakes 2009m Form Guide
Back Me: Epingle hit the line strongly last start after coming from last. The barrier wont affect him as he will ease back, there should be ample speed and he looks a classy stayer in the making.
Don’t Back Me: Freezy has won her last two races but this looks a much tougher task and from barrier 13 she will need a lot of luck to be winning.
Big Danger: Notice Received did a lot of work last start but was too good for them in the end. Will get a good run from barrier 5 and looks a quality up and coming stayer.
Roughie: Blue Ribbon was very disappointing last start although should be able to bounce back on Saturday and on her day is very competitive.
$500 Epingle Free Bet
Race Five: Darley Laelia Stakes 1600m Form Guide
Back Me: Mybenz ran over the top of them last start to win well at Caulfield. The extra distance looks like it will suit her and she is currently at very backable odds of $6.
Don’t Back Me: Hazard didn’t do much last start and will have to overcome a wide barrier which looks a tough task.
Big Danger: Coins did it tough last start in the race won by Mybenz. Gets into the weights better here and looks the biggest danger.
Roughie: Whitten’s Delight lost her position and was held up last start were she should of finished closer. Should be right in this with some luck from barrier 10.
$500 Mybenz Free Bet
Race Six: R A Lee Stakes 1600m Form Guide
Back Me: Essay Raider is likely to go back in the field and settle with the favourite. Will make his run with those shorter in the market and i think he has the turn of speed to win the race at very good odds.
Don’t Back Me: Wall Street hasn’t won a race in two and a half years so it’s hard to see him changing that on Saturday.
Big Danger: Linton gets into the race very well rated and his run last start was massive. Looks the horse to beat but i think he is a risk at the odds.
Roughie: Road Warrior finished along side Linton last start and despite being worse in weights this time he is much better in the odds at $21.
$500 Essay Raider Free Bet
Race Seven: Distinctive Homes Goodwood Stk 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: Moment Of Change at his best just wins this race. Last start he put in a disappointing run although the start before that he should have won the Newmarket Handicap. You wont get juicy odds but i can’t see anything beating him.
Don’t Back Me: Yosei hit the line well last start but has had seven tries at the distance for just the two placings.
Big Danger: Facile Tigre looks the only danger to the favourite in the race and if the top selection is unlucky or not at his best a win wouldn’t surprise.
Roughie: Karacatis has a very good record at the track and at the distance. Having his toughest test to date but is a horse on the up and must be included in your multiples.
$500 Moment Of Change Free Bet
Race Eight: Centrebet Proud Miss Stakes 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: Classy Chloe is likely to go back from the wide barrier and in a race that looks to have a lot of speed this should help. She has a good record at the distance and track should be finishing well late at double figure odds.
Don’t Back Me: Tariana dictated the race last start but couldn’t hold onto the race which is a concern looking at her odds in this race.
Big Danger: Family Portrait will carry the lowest weight and is always consistant. Ran wide throughout last start and should be able to get a good run from barrier 1 on Saturday.
Roughie: Juliet’s Princess likes the distance, has a great first up record and has only missed a placing once at the track from nine starts and looks the best roughie in the race.
$500 Classy Chloe Free Bet
Best Bet: Moment Of Change is the class runner of the day and looking at his competition gets into the weights quite well. I’d be very surprised if he gets beaten like Snitzerland did a fortnight ago.
Next Best: Epingle has been around the mark his last few runs and i think his day will come on Saturday were he looks very well suited.
Best Roughie: Essay Raider is likely to make her run with the short priced favourite in the race and i don’t think there should be a $10 difference in the odds between the two.