At one stage, it looked like Hay List was going to run here. I’m glad he’s not. It’s a small field, only seven runners, but it looks a top race. I know it’s a race in two in the betting, but I’m going outside the fancies.

I reckon ELITE FALLS looks back to her best. Her run in the Oakleigh Plate, beaten a nose from the outside barrier, was gigantic. She won’t get pace on here, which is a concern, but if the Rosehill track is playing fair I can see her coming with a late run to blouse them all.

RAIN AFFAIR is a logical favourite, and I think these weight for age tests are his forte. They usually allow for small fields, so he can just jump and run and he doesn’t need to worry too much about being challenged for the lead. I’m just concerned about his preparation for this. He stepped out to 1400m for the Apollo Stakes, came back to 1200m for the Newmarket where he didn’t have the easiest run and is now back to 1100m. I probably shouldn’t be worried – look at what Black Caviar managed! But it still crosses my mind. Wouldn’t want to be taking odds on about him.

Same with BEL SPRINTER. He’s a very nice horse, on the up. He’ll probably be better suited in a race like this. But I’d prefer to be on Elite Falls at three times the price of Bel Sprinter. For fourth, go with SATIN SHOES who should sit just behind Rain Affair and Winter King and could sneak a place.

6 – ELITE FALLS
1 – RAIN AFFAIR
3 – BEL SPRINTER
7 – SATIN SHOES