The fifteenth placed St. Kilda take on the sixteenth placed Western Bulldogs and whilst nothing separates them on the ladder, the betting market for the match rightly indicates that the Saints are travelling much better than their opponents.

The Saints had the unenviable task of facing Essendon, Collingwood and Sydney and although defeated in each of these games, showed improving signs so much so that they beat Carlton in round 7 (77 – 68).

Last week they travelled to Adelaide and were within nine points off the Crows at the major break but were only able to add three more majors in the second half and were dominated late, losing 87 – 47.

Saints’ two wins have come against the Suns and GWS – teams placed lower than them on the table and the Bulldogs fit that bill.

Western Bulldogs have only won one of their past nineteen matches – that being against Brisbane in the opening round of this year.

They were handed a 70 point flogging by West Coast in round 6, a 54 point defeat by North in round 7 and even the Gold Coast Suns jumped on the bandwagon last week, registering the biggest win in their club’s history 93 – 61.

This poor form couple with the fact that the Bulldogs haven’t beat St. Kilda since round 11, 2008 and their chances of winning here you would think are even less than the $4.25 offered.

TIP: ST. KILDA -28.5 @ $1.91

Odds comparison by AFL Odds:

St Kilda Saints	1.22	1.22	1.23	1.22	1.22	1.23
Western Bulldogs	4.30	4.30	4.35	4.30	4.30	4.35

Teams:

St Kilda Saints:
B: Rhys Stanley, James Gwilt, Jack Newnes
HB: Sean Dempster, Sam Fisher, Jimmy Webster
C: Farren Ray, Lenny Hayes, Dylan Roberton
HF: Nick Dal Santo, Beau Maister, Jarryn Geary
F: Tom Hickey, Nick Riewoldt, Stephen Milne
Foll: Ben McEvoy, Leigh Montagna, Jack Steven
Int: Arryn Siposs, David Armitage, Sebastian Ross, Ahmed Saad
Emerg: Josh Saunders, Terry Milera, Clinton Jones

In: L. Hayes
Out: T. Milera

Western Bulldogs:
B: Liam Picken, Jordan Roughead, Jason Johannisen
HB: Tom Young, Dale Morris, Brett Goodes
C: Matthew Boyd, Ryan Griffen, Robert Murphy
HF: Luke Dahlhaus, Liam Jones, Jake Stringer
F: Dylan Addison, Tom Williams, Daniel Giansiracusa
Foll: Will Minson, Clay Smith, Tom Liberatore
Int: Koby Stevens, Nathan Hrovat, Jack Macrae, Nick Lower
Emerg: Lukas Markovic, Mitch Wallis, Daniel Cross

In: D. Addison, T. Williams, N. Hrovat
Out: D. Cross, A. Cooney (hamstring), L. Markovic