AFL 2014 Round 16 betting preview, odds and tips

Whether young pup Marcus Bontempelli wins Goal of the Year with his miraculous last quarter effort remains to be seen, but the Bulldog now has another reason to smile, with online bookmaker sportsbet firming the midfielder into favouritism to be this year’s Rising Star.

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Bontempelli, the number 4 pick in last year’s draft, has firmed from $10 into $5.00 to be named the best young player in the league, equal with Collingwood’s Tom Langdon also at $5.00.

In contrast to last year’s market where winner Jaegar O’Meara was into $1.25 by this time last season, this year’s Rising Star market is very tight with Kade Kolodjashnij ($6.00), James Aish ($7.00) and Josh Kelly ($7.00) still in the hunt.

“Bontempelli was a speculative pick when the Doggies took him at four last year, but he now looks a genuine chance to be the Rising Star. The only person who might be more excited than Marcus is the Bulldogs recruiting manager who took him so early!” said sportsbet.com.au’s Shaun Anderson.

In other betting news:

  • Saints spoon: St Kilda is now into the shortest odds of any team for the season to win the Wooden Spoon, now clearly the most likely at $1.20.
  • Ablett back to back: Gary Ablett’s chances of winning back to back Brownlow’s continues to shorten, with the star firming from $1.66 to $1.60 over the weekend.
  • Buddy Coleman: Buddy’s five goal haul has seen him firm into $4.00 favouritism to win the Coleman, with Jay Schulz next in the market at $4.50.

Markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au

Least Wins

(Prices in brackets from Friday 27 June)
$1.20     St Kilda                                  (in from $1.87)
$8.00     Brisbane                                (out from $2.20)
$10        Melbourne                            (in from $41)
$10        GWS                                      (in from $17)
$34        Carlton                                  (in from $51)
$41        Richmond                              (in from $10)

Rising Star Winner
$5.00     Marcus Bontempelli            (in from $10)
                  
$5.00     Tom Langdon                       (out from $4.00)
                  
$6.00     Kade Kolodjashnij                  (out from $5.00)                                           
$7.00     James Aish                            (in from $10)
$7.00     Josh Kelly                               (steady)
$9.00     Luke Dunstan                        (out from $8.00)
$12        Joe Daniher                           (steady)       
$12        Troy Menzel                          (out from $10)                          
$12        Jonathan Patton                    (steady)                      
$12        Luke McDonald                     (steady)
$17        Harry Cunningham               (out from $16)
$21        Jack Billings                           (steady)
$26        Jarman Impey                       (steady)
$34        Lewis Taylor                          (steady)         
$34        Jack Martin                          (steady)
$34        Matt Crouch                          (out from $26)                                           
Others quoted        

Matches
$4.10     North Melbourne
$1.23     Hawthorn            

$1.15     Richmond
$5.00     Brisbane           

$3.70      GWS
$1.26      Adelaide

$2.25     Gold Coast
$1.60     Collingwood

$5.00     Melbourne
$1.16     Fremantle

$1.27     Port Adelaide
$3.55     Essendon

$1.13     Carlton
$5.50     St Kilda

$4.00     West Coast
$1.22     Sydney

$1.12     Geelong
$5.75     Western Bulldogs

Premiership winner
$3.75     Sydney
                      (steady)
$3.75     Hawthorn                  (steady)
$4.75     Fremantle                 (in from $5.00)
$5.50     Port Adelaide            (steady)
$10        Geelong                     (in from $11)
$26        Collingwood              (steady)
$41        North Melbourne      (out from $21)
$51        Adelaide                    (in from $81)
$67        Gold Coast                 (steady)
$101      West Coast                (steady)
$101      Essendon                   (steady)
$501      Carlton                      (steady)
$501      Richmond                  (steady)
$501      Western Bulldogs      (steady)
$501      GWS                          (steady)
$501      Melbourne                (steady)

Brownlow Medal
$1.60     Gary Ablett              (in from $1.66)
$7.00     Scott Pendlebury       (steady)
$10        Josh Kennedy             (steady)
$16        Joel Selwood             (steady)
$16        Travis Boak               (in from $18)
$26        Dayne Beams            (out from $18)
$28        Matthew Priddis       (out from $26)
$31        Brent Harvey             (out from $26)
$31        Patrick Dangerfield   (out from $21)
$34        Dane Swan                (out from $23)
$34        Nathan Jones             (out from $26)
$34        Aaron Sandilands      (out from $26)
Others quoted

Coleman Medal
$4.00     Lance Franklin (40)  (in from $5.00)
$4.50     Jay Schulz (45)          (out from $5.00)
$7.00     Tom Hawkins (41)     (out from $6.00)
$8.00     Jarryd Roughead (38)(out from $7.00)
$11        Jack Riewoldt (39)     (out from $8.00)
$12        Josh Kennedy (35)     (out from $11)
$18        Travis Cloke (29)       (out from $15)
$26        Luke Breust (38)        (steady)
$26        Nick Riewoldt (34)    (out from $18)
Others quoted                        

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