2014 Queen Elizabeth Stakes Tips and Odds

I take a look at the Queen Elizabeth Stakes 2014 and give my thoughts on each of the runners in a short preview to keep readers interested. Feel free to scroll to the bottom to see my Queen Elizabeth Stakes Tips.

 

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1. BOBAN – Glyn Schofield (9)

Summary: Beat a good field in the Chipping Norton Stakes two starts ago but then failed on a slow track last start. Likely to find another rain affected surface on Saturday which won’t suit but if he can handle it with the big weight he is definitely a big danger.

 

2. IT’S A DUNDEEL – J McDonald (1)

Summary: Has had three starts this preparation and has placed in every one of those although for his expectations that is a bit disappointing. This has been his target race and James McDonald is very bullish about his chances in the race. Drops back from The BMW which is a concern but in saying that i think he is the horse to beat but probably under the odds now.

 

3. SACRED FALLS –  Z Purton (12)

Summary: Won the Doncaster Mile on the weekend in impressive fashion coming through the field to record a solid win. Looks to be going well and if there is rain between now and race time which is unlikely he is probably the best horse on a heavy track but either way he has to be kept safe.

 

4. GREEN MOON – J Bowman (8)

Summary: If he runs in the race he has to be kept safe in the betting but there is a query if he will or not with the track likely to be in the slow range on Saturday. Will go forward in the race and make his own luck and be hard to run down late.

Queen Elizabeth Stakes 2014- I have gone with some value in my tip for the race in the way of Hawkspur
Queen Elizabeth Stakes 2014- I have gone with some value in my tip for the race in the way of Hawkspur

 

5. CARLTON HOUSE – T Berry (5)

Summary: Took a ton of running down last start in the Ranvet Stakes and that form has held up with Silent Achiever going on to also win The BMW. Opened as favourite in betting but bookies can’t write a bet on him which is a big worry so based on that i won’t be including him.

 

6. HAWKSPUR – J Cassidy (4)

Summary: Has raced really well this preparation without ever looking like he was going to win which is a bit of a worry although the distance should be perfect and so should the track for him to change that around on Saturday. He looks a big danger in the race and can be backed confidently each way in the market. Last time ill have him on top if he doesn’t win.

 

7. MY KINGDOM OF FIFE – C Newitt (10)

Summary: Will jump at massive odds in the race and but i think he is over the odds at triple figures and if he can regain some of his form from 2011 he is right in this race although that is unlikely he is one to add to multiples at big odds.

 

8. TOYDINI – B Shinn (2)

Summary: Thought he had a good chance in the Doncaster on the weekend but never figured in the race, happy to excuse that run due to the track and on a drying surface on Saturday i think he has to be included in the chances and at $51 he looks great value in betting.

 

9. LE ROI – C Williams (3)

Summary: Coming through a handicap race at Moonee Valley which on paper doesn’t look anywhere near good enough to trouble this field.

 

10. SILENT ACHIEVER – N Rawiller (7)

Summary: Was labeled as a giant killer in the Ranvet but she showed it was no fluke coming out and winning The BMW at her next start. Has won all four of her runs this preparation and she could quite easily make it five from five and it is very hard to stop mares in form which she certainly is.

 

11. ROYAL DESCENT –  Damian Oliver (11)

Summary: She looked to have the Doncaster all wrapped up at the 150m mark before she somewhat died on her run slightly, not sure if this was due to fitness or she just didn’t run out the trip as well as the winner so i am a little undecided on how she will go here but i will have her in my selections.

 

12. DEAR DEMI – K McEvoy (6)  

Summary: Has been disappointing this preparation and the breeding barn could be calling unless she runs a better race on Saturday. On ability she has to be included but on form you could have her in the top ten so i will be leaving her out but i hope to see an improved performance.

 

Top 5 (in order):

Hawkspur

It’s A Dundeel

Silent Achiever

Royal Descent

Toydini

 

Bottom 5 (in order):

Le Roi

My Kingdom Of Fife

Green Moon

Carlton House

Dear Demi

 

 

In the news:

Chris Waller is banking on a combination of Doncaster Mile form lines and fresh legs to extend his autumn carnival dominance in Saturday’s $4 million Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Randwick.

Weight of numbers prevailed for the premier trainer in the Doncaster when he produced the first four horses across the line.

He will again have the percentages in his favour when he saddles up almost half of the 12-horse field for the richest race of the autumn carnival.

Four of them will back up from last Saturday’s feature Mile – the winner Sacred Falls, runner-up Royal Descent, fourth placed Hawkspur and My Kingdom Of Fife who finished 10th.

Boban rounds out his team after being scratched from Randwick last Saturday due to the heavy track.

In a race which brings together the cream of middle-distance talent in the country, Waller’s approach has been to have his horses rising to 2000 metres for the first time this campaign on Saturday – Boban for the first time in his career.

But for Silent Achiever and It’s A Dundeel who has been backed into favouritism since Tuesday’s barrier draw, the Queen Elizabeth presents a test of a different kind.

The pair finished first and second respectively in The BMW (2400m) and must adapt to the shorter Queen Elizabeth journey.

Waller says that challenge is just as significant as the task faced by two of his team, Boban and Sacred Falls, who have established themselves as two of the best milers in Australia but are unproven over the distance of the Queen Elizabeth.

“My gut feeling is that Boban will be fine over the 2000 but I’m still concerned about the (wet) track,” Waller said.

“Sacred Falls has won two Doncaster Miles at Randwick and he attacked the line in both of those.

“I think some of the others would be worried about running a sharp 2000 metres.

“It’s going to be a very interesting race this year.”

Carlton House has been easy in betting this week and is now a $4.40 second pick behind It’s A Dundeel ($3.80).

He has not raced since his narrow second to Silent Achiever in the Ranvet Stakes last month, although he was kept up to the mark with a subsequent 1250m barrier trial at Randwick.

The 2012 Melbourne Cup winner Green Moon also comes to the race with fresh legs having last raced in the Australian Cup on March 8 when he finished second to Fiorente.

Waller said that while 2011 winner My Kingdom Of Fife needed to lift, he could not split his remaining runners.

“It’s almost impossible”.

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